2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and pick

The 2012 Euro Cup is as a result of the final four teams, so when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon they shall be playing to handle the winner with the Spain vs. Portugal game that takes place later today.
Recent history between those two teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't care about the past, they are dedicated to the game accessible.
The German squad haven't ever beaten Italy inside a competitive match.
"We can't turnaround for the time, just forget about about it, the past doesn't are likely involved within our planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is always that Germany never won against Italy in a major tournament, but just what exactly?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's time for Germany to win as these are the widely used at -135. The website Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will likely be a difficult, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong manner about this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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